AVAX: Beginning of a bull run or yet another bull trap
The tenth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has been having a extremely good week. Prior to now week alone, Avalanche has rallied over 20-25% reaching a complete market cap near $23 billion in keeping with CoinMarketCap at press time. Even within the final 24 hours it has jumped by almost 10%. That’s elevating plenty of eyebrows. And, it additionally raises the query if AVAX goes to be a worthwhile purchase sooner or later?
Technically talking, it may be agreed that AVAX is seeing a broader bearishness on the worth charts, with the worth caught in a descending triangle. Curiously, AVAX confirmed a powerful restoration from 15 March. Nonetheless, it’s nonetheless inside the broader descending triangle. Thus, suggesting that this may simply be a neat little bull entice.
A better take a look at AVAX’s previous rallies and the following dips since November 2021 and the RSI from the identical timeframe reveals a placing correlation. Costs have been creating decrease highs, thus creating the descending triangle – and every of these minor rallies received caught at 60-65 ranges on the RSI (yellow line).
Based mostly on that precedent, with RSI’s present worth at 61 – it may be anticipated to dip very quickly. On-chain metrics for this specific coin are throwing out blended indicators. In keeping with information from Messari, marketcap dominance for Avalanche noticed a serious spike lately, boding properly for the brief time period. It topped out all the opposite rallies from earlier than. Thereby, suggesting some energy available in the market going ahead.
Moreover, information from Avascan.info reveals burning charges of AVAX has been rising steadily which is a optimistic signal. Burning tokens removes them completely from the circulating provide and, in impact, makes the underlying asset deflationary.
This occurs primarily as a result of it immediately impacts the demand and provide dynamics of the coin.
Nonetheless regardless of that, just a few different indications recommend AVAX isn’t but able to go lengthy. AVAX’s Sharpe ratio has been dipping for the previous few months and is presently hovering round 0.73. Actually, it had even touched -6 in the direction of the top of January – this clearly states that lengthy positions at these ranges might be lethal.
Together with that, information from Santiment additionally reveals AVAX’s developmental exercise has been stagnating for some time too which isn’t a wholesome signal for the rapid future worth motion of the coin.
So general, AVAX regardless of displaying plenty of promise has fallen to the poor sentiments of the broader market that started again in December final 12 months and remains to be persevering with. So all factors thought-about, this could possibly be a potential bull entice and lengthy merchants may contemplate staying away from this coin in the interim.